Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ADA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-09 0.000008 0.000009 0.000010 0.000011 0.000013 0.000014 0.000016
2025-03-16 0.000007 0.000008 0.000010 0.000012 0.000014 0.000017 0.000021
2025-03-23 0.000006 0.000008 0.000010 0.000012 0.000016 0.000021 0.000027
2025-03-30 0.000005 0.000007 0.000009 0.000012 0.000017 0.000023 0.000033
2025-04-06 0.000005 0.000007 0.000009 0.000013 0.000018 0.000027 0.000041
2025-04-13 0.000004 0.000006 0.000008 0.000012 0.000019 0.000029 0.000048
2025-04-20 0.000004 0.000006 0.000008 0.000013 0.000020 0.000032 0.000058
2025-04-27 0.000004 0.000005 0.000008 0.000013 0.000021 0.000037 0.000071
2025-05-04 0.000003 0.000005 0.000008 0.000013 0.000022 0.000041 0.000084
2025-05-11 0.000003 0.000005 0.000008 0.000013 0.000024 0.000046 0.000102
2025-05-18 0.000003 0.000005 0.000008 0.000013 0.000025 0.000050 0.000120
2025-05-25 0.000003 0.000004 0.000007 0.000013 0.000026 0.000056 0.000144
2025-06-01 0.000003 0.000004 0.000007 0.000013 0.000027 0.000061 0.000170
2025-06-08 0.000002 0.000004 0.000007 0.000014 0.000029 0.000068 0.000205
2025-06-15 0.000002 0.000004 0.000007 0.000014 0.000030 0.000075 0.000249
2025-06-22 0.000002 0.000004 0.000007 0.000013 0.000030 0.000080 0.000283
2025-06-29 0.000002 0.000004 0.000007 0.000013 0.000032 0.000088 0.000339
2025-07-06 0.000002 0.000003 0.000006 0.000013 0.000032 0.000091 0.000380
2025-07-13 0.000002 0.000003 0.000006 0.000013 0.000033 0.000100 0.000454
2025-07-20 0.000002 0.000003 0.000006 0.000013 0.000035 0.000112 0.000562
2025-07-27 0.000002 0.000003 0.000006 0.000013 0.000036 0.000121 0.000670
2025-08-03 0.000002 0.000003 0.000006 0.000014 0.000038 0.000135 0.000826
2025-08-10 0.000001 0.000003 0.000006 0.000014 0.000039 0.000146 0.000994